Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.002896 0.003111 0.003345 0.003621 0.003937 0.004294 0.004730
2024-10-06 0.002643 0.002945 0.003296 0.003740 0.004299 0.004995 0.005961
2024-10-13 0.002400 0.002742 0.003156 0.003711 0.004460 0.005478 0.007060
2024-10-20 0.002165 0.002513 0.002948 0.003553 0.004409 0.005653 0.007776
2024-10-27 0.002038 0.002401 0.002870 0.003546 0.004554 0.006126 0.009123
2024-11-03 0.001847 0.002191 0.002639 0.003297 0.004300 0.005918 0.009179
2024-11-10 0.001785 0.002143 0.002621 0.003344 0.004500 0.006496 0.011034
2024-11-17 0.001741 0.002114 0.002624 0.003422 0.004757 0.007238 0.013767
2024-11-24 0.001670 0.002044 0.002562 0.003390 0.004821 0.007630 0.015932
2024-12-01 0.001642 0.002029 0.002578 0.003480 0.005114 0.008590 0.021069
2024-12-08 0.001588 0.001975 0.002531 0.003463 0.005203 0.009121 0.025578
2024-12-15 0.001526 0.001906 0.002457 0.003392 0.005177 0.009363 0.029310
2024-12-22 0.001503 0.001896 0.002477 0.003493 0.005534 0.010837 0.047789
2024-12-29 0.001479 0.001884 0.002492 0.003589 0.005910 0.012657 0.098855
2025-01-05 0.001430 0.001830 0.002440 0.003556 0.005990 0.013588 0.191614
2025-01-12 0.001362 0.001745 0.002330 0.003406 0.005771 0.013289 0.232298
2025-01-19 0.001326 0.001708 0.002297 0.003398 0.005896 0.014477 1.652760
2025-01-26 0.001250 0.001606 0.002152 0.003166 0.005431 0.012929 0.435438
2025-02-02 0.001231 0.001591 0.002151 0.003210 0.005671 0.014661 NaN
2025-02-09 0.001218 0.001585 0.002163 0.003282 0.006000 0.017250 NaN
2025-02-16 0.001188 0.001551 0.002126 0.003253 0.006049 0.018421 NaN
2025-02-23 0.001179 0.001549 0.002144 0.003337 0.006441 0.022508 NaN
2025-03-02 0.001154 0.001521 0.002115 0.003320 0.006534 0.024679 NaN